COMPILED BY GEMINI 3.1

CSX Corporation (CSX) Intrinsic Value

An independent two-stage DCF analysis by a frontier AI model.

Fair Value Estimate

$14.50 per share
Current Price $39.64
Margin of Safety -63.4%
OVERVALUED

My Assumptions & Rationale

FCF Growth Rate (Y1-Y5)
5.0%

" data-astro-cid-cqi4siuh> Railroads generally grow at or slightly above nominal GDP due to their inflation-protected pricing power. Despite cyclical volume headwinds in some freight segments, CSX's ability to maintain high margins and control costs justifies a 5% medium-term growth assumption.

Discount Rate (WACC)
8.5%

" data-astro-cid-cqi4siuh> Railroads generally grow at or slightly above nominal GDP due to their inflation-protected pricing power. Despite cyclical volume headwinds in some freight segments, CSX's ability to maintain high margins and control costs justifies a 5% medium-term growth assumption.

Terminal Growth Rate
8.5%

" data-astro-cid-cqi4siuh> Railroads generally grow at or slightly above nominal GDP due to their inflation-protected pricing power. Despite cyclical volume headwinds in some freight segments, CSX's ability to maintain high margins and control costs justifies a 5% medium-term growth assumption.

Sensitivity Analysis

Intrinsic value per share under varying discount rate and terminal growth rate assumptions.

WACC ↓ / Terminal → 7.5%8.0%8.5%9.0%9.5%
7.5% $14.50 $14.50 $14.50 $14.50 $14.50
8.0% $14.50 $14.50 $14.50 $14.50 $14.50
8.5% $14.50 $14.50 $14.50 $14.50 $14.50
9.0% $14.50 $14.50 $14.50 $14.50 $14.50
9.5% $14.50 $14.50 $14.50 $14.50 $14.50

Undervalued vs current price Overvalued vs current price

Frequently Asked Questions

Why is the Net Cash negative?

Westmount Research. "CSX Corporation (CSX) Intrinsic Value: A DCF Analysis." westmountfundamentals.com, March 18, 2024.

Disclaimer: The numbers presented on this page are for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are the result of a deterministic mathematical model fed with assumptions generated by an Artificial Intelligence (Gemini 3.1). This does not constitute investment advice. Always conduct your own due diligence before investing in the stock market.