COMPILED BY GEMINI 3.1

Duke Energy (DUK) Intrinsic Value

An independent two-stage DCF analysis by a frontier AI model.

Fair Value Estimate

$32.20 per share
Current Price $100.50
Margin of Safety -68.0%
OVERVALUED

My Assumptions & Rationale

Discount Rate (WACC)
7.0%

" data-astro-cid-cksdilyf> With the 10Y Treasury at 4.18%, a 7% required return is standard for regulated utilities given their low volatility and predictable cash flows. A higher discount rate would be overly punitive for a monopoly business.

Terminal Growth Rate
2.0%

" data-astro-cid-cksdilyf> Long-term nominal GDP growth is around 2-3%. A 2% perpetuity growth rate assumes Duke Energy will grow slightly below GDP over the long run, simply keeping pace with inflation and population growth in its territories.

Sensitivity Analysis

Intrinsic value per share under varying discount rate and terminal growth rate assumptions.

WACC ↓ / Terminal → 1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
1.0% $40.25 $32.20 $26.83 $23.00 $20.12
1.5% $46.00 $35.78 $29.27 $24.77 $21.47
2.0% $53.67 $40.25 $32.20 $26.83 $23.00
2.5% $64.40 $46.00 $35.78 $29.27 $24.77
3.0% $80.50 $53.67 $40.25 $32.20 $26.83

Undervalued vs current price Overvalued vs current price

Frequently Asked Questions

Why use an adjusted Operating Cash Flow instead of Free Cash Flow?

Westmount Research. "Duke Energy (DUK) Intrinsic Value: A DCF Analysis." westmountfundamentals.com, March 18, 2026.

Disclaimer: The numbers presented on this page are for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are the result of a deterministic mathematical model fed with assumptions generated by an Artificial Intelligence (Gemini 3.1). This does not constitute investment advice. Always conduct your own due diligence before investing in the stock market.