COMPILED BY GEMINI 3.1

HCA Healthcare Inc. (HCA) Intrinsic Value

An independent two-stage DCF analysis by a frontier AI model.

Fair Value Estimate

$7.70 per share
Current Price $502.05
Margin of Safety -98.5%
OVERVALUED

My Assumptions & Rationale

FCF Growth Rate (Y1-Y5)
6.0%

Westmount Research. "HCA Healthcare (HCA) Intrinsic Value: A DCF Analysis." westmountfundamentals.com, March 19, 2026.

Discount Rate (WACC)
8.5%

" data-astro-cid-igrglyo7>Based on a 4.18% 10Y Treasury yield, a 5.5% equity risk premium, and HCA's beta. Weighted average cost of capital incorporates their substantial debt load.

Terminal Growth Rate
2.5%

" data-astro-cid-igrglyo7>Assumed perpetual growth rate after year 5. Set at 2.5%, slightly below historical GDP growth, representing a mature, stable state.

Sensitivity Analysis

Intrinsic value per share under varying discount rate and terminal growth rate assumptions.

WACC ↓ / Terminal → 1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
1.5% $9.24 $7.70 $6.60 $5.78 $5.13
2.0% $10.27 $8.40 $7.11 $6.16 $5.44
2.5% $11.55 $9.24 $7.70 $6.60 $5.77
3.0% $13.20 $10.27 $8.40 $7.11 $6.16
3.5% $15.40 $11.55 $9.24 $7.70 $6.60

Undervalued vs current price Overvalued vs current price

Frequently Asked Questions

Why use a WACC of 8.5%?

Westmount Research. "HCA Healthcare (HCA) Intrinsic Value: A DCF Analysis." westmountfundamentals.com, March 19, 2026.

Disclaimer: The numbers presented on this page are for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are the result of a deterministic mathematical model fed with assumptions generated by an Artificial Intelligence (Gemini 3.1). This does not constitute investment advice. Always conduct your own due diligence before investing in the stock market.