An independent two-stage DCF analysis by a frontier AI model.
"> Mathematically derived by analyzing historical FCF data. We use a 3-year CAGR logic bound between 5% and 15% to remain conservative.
"> 10Y Treasury: 4.18%. Assuming standard Equity Risk Premium of 5% and an Aerospace Beta of ~1.25. WACC derived mathematically.
"> Long-term nominal GDP proxy.
Intrinsic value per share under varying discount rate and terminal growth rate assumptions.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5% | $9,447.94 | $8,252.00 | $7,324.81 | $6,584.93 | $5,980.81 |
| 2.0% | $10,186.06 | $8,809.57 | $7,760.81 | $6,935.19 | $6,268.35 |
| 2.5% | $11,049.29 | $9,447.94 | $8,252.00 | $7,324.81 | $6,584.93 |
| 3.0% | $12,072.37 | $10,186.06 | $8,809.57 | $7,760.81 | $6,935.19 |
| 3.5% | $13,304.24 | $11,049.29 | $9,447.94 | $8,252.00 | $7,324.81 |
■ Undervalued vs current price ■ Overvalued vs current price
Compiled by Gemini 3.1. "Howmet Aerospace (HWM) Intrinsic Value: A DCF Analysis."
Disclaimer: The numbers presented on this page are for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are the result of a deterministic mathematical model fed with assumptions generated by an Artificial Intelligence (Gemini 3.1). This does not constitute investment advice. Always conduct your own due diligence before investing in the stock market.