COMPILED BY GEMINI 3.1

McKesson (MCK) Intrinsic Value

An independent two-stage DCF analysis by a frontier AI model.

Fair Value Estimate

$7.91 per share
Current Price $920.35
Margin of Safety -99.1%
OVERVALUED

My Assumptions & Rationale

FCF Growth Rate (Y1-Y5)
7.9%

" data-astro-cid-ibv6tnlg> Derived by calculating the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of McKesson's Free Cash Flow from FY2021 ($4091M) to FY2025 ($5548M). This anchors near-term projections precisely to actual historical performance rather than analyst speculation.

Discount Rate (WACC)
8.9%

" data-astro-cid-ibv6tnlg> Calculated as the 10-Year Treasury Yield (4.18%) plus McKesson's current Free Cash Flow Yield (4.71%). This dynamically adjusts the required return based on the actual cash yield the market is currently demanding for the stock.

Terminal Growth Rate
2.1%

" data-astro-cid-ibv6tnlg> Computed strictly as exactly half of the 10-Year Treasury yield. This serves as a mathematically grounded, conservative proxy for long-term GDP growth, ensuring the terminal value doesn't artificially inflate the valuation.

Sensitivity Analysis

Intrinsic value per share under varying discount rate and terminal growth rate assumptions.

WACC ↓ / Terminal → 1.1%1.6%2.1%2.6%3.1%
1.1% $9.27 $7.91 $6.90 $6.11 $5.49
1.6% $10.15 $8.54 $7.37 $6.48 $5.78
2.1% $11.21 $9.27 $7.91 $6.90 $6.11
2.6% $12.51 $10.15 $8.54 $7.37 $6.48
3.1% $14.15 $11.21 $9.27 $7.91 $6.90

Undervalued vs current price Overvalued vs current price

Disclaimer: The numbers presented on this page are for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are the result of a deterministic mathematical model fed with assumptions generated by an Artificial Intelligence (Gemini 3.1). This does not constitute investment advice. Always conduct your own due diligence before investing in the stock market.