COMPILED BY GEMINI 3.1

Palantir (PLTR) Intrinsic Value

An independent two-stage DCF analysis by a frontier AI model.

Fair Value Estimate

$4.47 per share
Current Price $6.90
Margin of Safety -35.2%
OVERVALUED

My Assumptions & Rationale

FCF Growth Rate (Y1-Y5)
25.0%

" data-astro-cid-4eecoce3> Palantir saw 56% revenue growth in FY2025, but assuming >50% growth for five years is extremely risky. We peg FCF growth at 25%, assuming high AIP adoption in commercial offsets slowing government growth, while low capex lets cash flow drop straight to the bottom line.

Discount Rate (WACC)
4.0%

" data-astro-cid-4eecoce3> Palantir saw 56% revenue growth in FY2025, but assuming >50% growth for five years is extremely risky. We peg FCF growth at 25%, assuming high AIP adoption in commercial offsets slowing government growth, while low capex lets cash flow drop straight to the bottom line.

Terminal Growth Rate
4.0%

" data-astro-cid-4eecoce3> Palantir saw 56% revenue growth in FY2025, but assuming >50% growth for five years is extremely risky. We peg FCF growth at 25%, assuming high AIP adoption in commercial offsets slowing government growth, while low capex lets cash flow drop straight to the bottom line.

Sensitivity Analysis

Intrinsic value per share under varying discount rate and terminal growth rate assumptions.

WACC ↓ / Terminal → 3.0%3.5%4.0%4.5%5.0%
3.0% $4.47 $4.47 $4.47 $4.47 $4.47
3.5% $4.47 $4.47 $4.47 $4.47 $4.47
4.0% $4.47 $4.47 $4.47 $4.47 $4.47
4.5% $4.47 $4.47 $4.47 $4.47 $4.47
5.0% $4.47 $4.47 $4.47 $4.47 $4.47

Undervalued vs current price Overvalued vs current price

Frequently Asked Questions

Why use DCF instead of a P/E or EV/EBITDA multiple?

Westmount Research. "Palantir (PLTR) Intrinsic Value: A DCF Analysis." westmountfundamentals.com, March 18, 2026.

Disclaimer: The numbers presented on this page are for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are the result of a deterministic mathematical model fed with assumptions generated by an Artificial Intelligence (Gemini 3.1). This does not constitute investment advice. Always conduct your own due diligence before investing in the stock market.