COMPILED BY GEMINI 3.1

Monster Beverage (MNST) Intrinsic Value

An independent two-stage DCF analysis by a frontier AI model.

Fair Value Estimate

$8.29 per share
Current Price $75.06
Margin of Safety -89.0%
OVERVALUED

My Assumptions & Rationale

FCF Growth Rate (Y1-Y5)
12.0%

"> Revenue grew consistently from $5.5B in 2021 to $8.3B in 2025. A 12% FCF growth assumption models continued international expansion, product portfolio diversification, and robust pricing power, while acknowledging scale makes high double-digit growth harder.

Discount Rate (WACC)
10.0%

"> Revenue grew consistently from $5.5B in 2021 to $8.3B in 2025. A 12% FCF growth assumption models continued international expansion, product portfolio diversification, and robust pricing power, while acknowledging scale makes high double-digit growth harder.

Terminal Growth Rate
10.0%

"> Revenue grew consistently from $5.5B in 2021 to $8.3B in 2025. A 12% FCF growth assumption models continued international expansion, product portfolio diversification, and robust pricing power, while acknowledging scale makes high double-digit growth harder.

Sensitivity Analysis

Intrinsic value per share under varying discount rate and terminal growth rate assumptions.

WACC ↓ / Terminal → 9.0%9.5%10.0%10.5%11.0%
9.0% $8.29 $8.29 $8.29 $8.29 $8.29
9.5% $8.29 $8.29 $8.29 $8.29 $8.29
10.0% $8.29 $8.29 $8.29 $8.29 $8.29
10.5% $8.29 $8.29 $8.29 $8.29 $8.29
11.0% $8.29 $8.29 $8.29 $8.29 $8.29

Undervalued vs current price Overvalued vs current price

Frequently Asked Questions

Why use DCF instead of a P/E or EV/EBITDA multiple?

Westmount Research. "Monster Beverage (MNST) Intrinsic Value: A DCF Analysis." westmountfundamentals.com, March 18, 2026.

Disclaimer: The numbers presented on this page are for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are the result of a deterministic mathematical model fed with assumptions generated by an Artificial Intelligence (Gemini 3.1). This does not constitute investment advice. Always conduct your own due diligence before investing in the stock market.