COMPILED BY GEMINI 3.1

Motorola Solutions (MSI) Intrinsic Value

An independent two-stage DCF analysis by a frontier AI model.

Fair Value Estimate

$11.70 per share
Current Price $467.28
Margin of Safety -97.5%
OVERVALUED

My Assumptions & Rationale

FCF Growth Rate (Y1-Y5)
3.0%

"> Calculated based on the recent historical compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of MSI's free cash flow, ensuring it is grounded in actual recent performance trends while capped to remain realistic.

Discount Rate (WACC)
15.0%

"> Calculated based on the recent historical compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of MSI's free cash flow, ensuring it is grounded in actual recent performance trends while capped to remain realistic.

Terminal Growth Rate
3.0%

"> Assumes MSI will eventually grow at a stable rate similar to historical GDP growth in perpetuity after the high-growth Phase 1 concludes.

Sensitivity Analysis

Intrinsic value per share under varying discount rate and terminal growth rate assumptions.

WACC ↓ / Terminal → 2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%4.0%
2.0% $12.76 $11.70 $10.80 $10.03 $9.36
2.5% $13.37 $12.21 $11.23 $10.40 $9.68
3.0% $14.04 $12.76 $11.70 $10.80 $10.03
3.5% $14.78 $13.37 $12.21 $11.23 $10.40
4.0% $15.60 $14.04 $12.76 $11.70 $10.80

Undervalued vs current price Overvalued vs current price

Disclaimer: The numbers presented on this page are for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are the result of a deterministic mathematical model fed with assumptions generated by an Artificial Intelligence (Gemini 3.1). This does not constitute investment advice. Always conduct your own due diligence before investing in the stock market.