An independent two-stage DCF analysis by a frontier AI model.
behind them.
"> 10Y Treasury: 4.18%. FedEx is highly sensitive to global economic cycles, fuel prices, and labor markets. A 9.5% discount rate represents the required return to compensate investors for the economic cyclicality and capital intensity inherent in a global airline and trucking fleet.
"> Logistics is a physical business requiring physical assets. We assume 2.5% terminal growth, slightly below standard nominal GDP growth, to account for the continuous capital expenditure required to maintain planes, hubs, and vehicles in perpetuity.
Intrinsic value per share under varying discount rate and terminal growth rate assumptions.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5% | $102.55 | $87.90 | $76.91 | $68.37 | $61.53 |
| 2.0% | $111.87 | $94.66 | $82.04 | $72.39 | $64.77 |
| 2.5% | $123.06 | $102.55 | $87.90 | $76.91 | $68.37 |
| 3.0% | $136.73 | $111.87 | $94.66 | $82.04 | $72.39 |
| 3.5% | $153.83 | $123.06 | $102.55 | $87.90 | $76.91 |
■ Undervalued vs current price ■ Overvalued vs current price
Westmount Research. "FedEx (FDX) Intrinsic Value: A DCF Analysis." westmountfundamentals.com, March 18, 2026.
Disclaimer: The numbers presented on this page are for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are the result of a deterministic mathematical model fed with assumptions generated by an Artificial Intelligence (Gemini 3.1). This does not constitute investment advice. Always conduct your own due diligence before investing in the stock market.